Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Zac Gallen · Over 2.5 3+ Ks
K-monster arsenal
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
ARI @ KC · full-game reads
Moneyline
ARI to win
50%
1st 5 Innings
KC F5
45%
Game Total
Over 8.5
55%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
59%
Run Line
KC -1.5
34%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
48%
Team Total
KC Over 4.5
46%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 9.43 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
ARI SP · vs. KC
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
73%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
31%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
66%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
52%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
KC SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
37%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
20%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
99%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
79%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
76%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
63%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Big OF — triples up, HR down.
Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 4.8–4.6 · projected total 9.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
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