BETFLYAISIGN IN
PITTSBURGHPIT
71-73 · +4 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
@TUE 7:40 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
75-68 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 5-5 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
80°F · 10mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Bubba Chandler
RHP · PITPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
4.30
IP
136.0
K/9
8.0
BB/9
4.7
WHIP
1.37
L5 STARTS3.57 ERA · 21.9% K · 9.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
48%
18%
17%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupSinkerSweeperCurveball
Sean Burke
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.20
IP
154.2
K/9
9.7
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
1.14
L5 STARTS3.91 ERA · 20.9% K · 13.6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
21%
18%
15%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSliderSinkerCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Sean Burke · Over 17.5 18+ Outs

elite efficiency, gets the bulk innings

-105 Fanatics51% book70% +19pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 56%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PIT CWS

Game Markets

PIT @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

56%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

38%

Team Total

PIT Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

CWS projects to outscore PIT by 0.41 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PIT 4.59, CWS 5.00
  • Bubba Chandler (PIT) vs Sean Burke (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BC

Bubba Chandler

PIT SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

42%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

5%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

53%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against CWS
SB

Sean Burke

CWS SP · vs. PIT

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

10%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

65%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

38%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against PIT

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BUBBA CHANDLER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.3%OPS-against.593
vs Left-handedK%19.7%OPS-against.761
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%23.6%

SEAN BURKE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PIT hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.9%OPS-against.612
vs Left-handedK%26.6%OPS-against.702
PIT vs RHP (team)OPS.753K%23.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs BUBBA CHANDLER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PIT BATTERS vs SEAN BURKE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PIT 0·CWS 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
PIT 0·CWS 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%PIT
PIT 15 · CWS 13 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-07-20CWS 7-2
2025-07-19CWS 10-4 · Blowout
2025-07-18CWS 10-1 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PIT44¢ · 44%
CWS59¢ · 59%
Total 8.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
PIT -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PIT OFFENSE

.272L15 team wOBA
-44 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CWS OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT80° · 10mph out to LF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
80°F
Wind10 mph out to LF
Humidity58%
Rain2%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO