BETFLYAISIGN IN
MINNESOTAMIN
68-76 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 4-6 L10
@TUE 6:40 PM ETDET HOME PARK
66-78 · +4 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
DETROITDET
Weather
82°F · 6mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Dean Kremer
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+88
ERA
5.81
IP
66.2
K/9
8.9
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.31
L5 STARTS5.71 ERA · 24.1% K · 10.2% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
21%
Split-Finger4-Seam Fastball
Drew Anderson
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
3.73
IP
91.2
K/9
9.9
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.30
L5 STARTS3.08 ERA · 22.1% K · 11.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
40%
31%
22%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN DET

Game Markets

MIN @ DET · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

DET F5

48%

Game Total

Over 8.5

42%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

DET -1.5

37%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

36%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

40%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore MIN by 0.35 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIN 3.89, DET 4.25
  • Dean Kremer (MIN) vs Drew Anderson (DET)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DK

Dean Kremer

MIN SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

42%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

13%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

43%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 46% to reach 5+ against DET
DA

Drew Anderson

DET SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

15%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

91%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

32%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

47%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.4 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.4 strikeouts
  • 81% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DEAN KREMER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.0%OPS-against.842
vs Left-handedK%22.0%OPS-against.963
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.718K%22.9%

DREW ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.7%OPS-against.789
vs Left-handedK%23.1%OPS-against.658
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.742K%20.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

DET BATTERS vs DEAN KREMER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs DREW ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 0·DET 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIN 9·DET 4
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
51%DET
MIN 150 · DET 159 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-07DET 5-4 · One-run game
2026-09-02DET 11-6 · Slugfest
2026-09-01MIN 15-2 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN45¢ · 45%
DET58¢ · 58%
Total 8
Over50¢ · 50%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5— · —
DET +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

DET OFFENSE

.257L15 team wOBA
-59 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT82° · 6mph in from CF
COMERICA PARK
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.97 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind6 mph in from CF
Humidity43%
Rain1%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO