BETFLYAISIGN IN
COLORADOCOL
55-88 · +5 NL WEST · L1 · 3-7 L10
@TUE 7:05 PM ETNYY HOME PARK
81-62 · +2 AL EAST · L1 · 6-4 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
79°F · 3mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Gabriel Hughes
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
6.19
IP
52.1
K/9
7.2
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.43
L5 STARTS8.92 ERA · 12.7% K · 10.9% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Cam Schlittler
RHP · NYYPROBABLE
STUFF+111
ERA
2.04
IP
171.2
K/9
11.0
BB/9
2.2
WHIP
0.94
L5 STARTS1.15 ERA · 32% K · 9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
27%
20%
4-Seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 72%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL NYY

Game Markets

COL @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

72%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

62%

Game Total

Over 8.5

51%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

55%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

30%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

57%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore COL by 2.05 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 3.50, NYY 5.54
  • Gabriel Hughes (COL) vs Cam Schlittler (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GH

Gabriel Hughes

COL SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

35%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

49%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 14% to reach 5+ against NYY
CS

Cam Schlittler

NYY SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

92%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

83%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

71%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

55%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

38%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

69%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.9 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.9 strikeouts
  • 92% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

GABRIEL HUGHES SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.4%OPS-against.831
vs Left-handedK%14.8%OPS-against.699
NYY vs RHP (team)OPS.711K%24.8%

CAM SCHLITTLER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.9%OPS-against.533
vs Left-handedK%33.7%OPS-against.577
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.760K%21.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs GABRIEL HUGHES

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs CAM SCHLITTLER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·NYY 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 0·NYY 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%NYY
COL 10 · NYY 12 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-05-25NYY 5-4 · One-run game
2025-05-24NYY 13-1 · Blowout
2025-05-24COL 3-2 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL27¢ · 27%
NYY77¢ · 77%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5— · —
NYY +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

NYY OFFENSE

.314L15 team wOBA
-2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT79° · 3mph in from CF
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind3 mph in from CF
Humidity39%
Rain1%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO