PITTSBURGHPIT
71-73 · +4 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
@2026-09-07CWS HOME PARK
75-68 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 5-5 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
74°F · 9mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PIT CWS

Game Markets

PIT @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

57%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

56%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

38%

Team Total

PIT Over 4.5

48%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.68 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: PIT 4.75, CWS 4.93
  • Bubba Chandler (PIT) vs Sean Burke (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BC

Bubba Chandler

PIT SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

29%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

48%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

34%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 28% to reach 5+ against CWS
SB

Sean Burke

CWS SP · vs. PIT

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

8%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

56%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

29%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

38%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.1 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against PIT

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.738K%24.5%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PIT hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

PIT vs RHP (team)OPS.753K%23.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PIT BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PIT 0·CWS 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
PIT 0·CWS 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%PIT
PIT 15 · CWS 13 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-07-20CWS 7-2
2025-07-19CWS 10-4 · Blowout
2025-07-18CWS 10-1 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PIT44¢ · 44%
CWS59¢ · 59%
Total 8.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
PIT -1.5 ·
CWS +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

PIT OFFENSE

.272L15 team wOBA
-44 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CWS OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT74° · 9mph out to LF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
74°F
Wind9 mph out to LF
Humidity71%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

WHITE SOX 55%

Mean score sim 4.74.9 · projected total 9.7 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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