COLORADOCOL
55-88 · +5 NL WEST · L1 · 3-7 L10
@2026-09-07NYY HOME PARK
81-62 · +2 AL EAST · L1 · 6-4 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
76°F · 4mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 71%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL NYY

Game Markets

COL @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

71%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

62%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

54%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

57%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore COL by 1.97 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 3.54, NYY 5.51
  • Gabriel Hughes (COL) vs Cam Schlittler (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GH

Gabriel Hughes

COL SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

22%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 13% to reach 5+ against NYY
CS

Cam Schlittler

NYY SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

52%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

36%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

91%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

63%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

38%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.7 strikeouts
  • 91% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYY vs LHP (team)OPS.732K%24.6%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

COL vs RHP (team)OPS.760K%21.8%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·NYY 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 0·NYY 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%NYY
COL 10 · NYY 12 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-05-25NYY 5-4 · One-run game
2025-05-24NYY 13-1 · Blowout
2025-05-24COL 3-2 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL28¢ · 28%
NYY76¢ · 76%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5 ·
NYY +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

NYY OFFENSE

.314L15 team wOBA
-2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT76° · 4mph out to RF
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind4 mph out to RF
Humidity40%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

YANKEES 71%

Mean score sim 3.55.5 · projected total 9.0 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read