ST. LOUISSTL
72-72 · +3 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
@2026-09-06SF HOME PARK
59-85 · +4 NL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
70°F · 14mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGiants 56%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

STL SF

Game Markets

STL @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SF to win

56%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

50%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

SF -1.5

39%

Team Total

STL Over 4.5

37%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

44%

THE READ

SF projects to outscore STL by 0.47 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: STL 3.98, SF 4.45
  • Michael McGreevy (STL) vs Logan Webb (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MM

Michael McGreevy

STL SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

35%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

56%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.5 strikeouts
  • 10% to reach 5+ against SF
LW

Logan Webb

SF SP · vs. STL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

69%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

23%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 23% to reach 5+ against STL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SF vs LHP (team)OPS.676K%23.5%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how STL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

STL vs RHP (team)OPS.699K%21.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

STL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
STL 0·SF 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
STL 0·SF 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%STL
STL 59 · SF 52 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-09-25SF 4-3 · One-run game
2025-09-24STL 9-8 · Slugfest
2025-09-23STL 6-5 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
STL45¢ · 45%
SF58¢ · 58%
Total 7.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
STL -1.5 ·
SF +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

STL OFFENSE

.319L15 team wOBA
+3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

SF OFFENSE

.326L15 team wOBA
+10 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT70° · 14mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
70°F
Wind14 mph out to CF
Humidity61%
Rain0%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GIANTS 56%

Mean score sim 4.04.4 · projected total 8.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read