MINNESOTAMIN
68-74 · +3 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
@SUN 6:20 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
74-68 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 5-5 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
74°F · 12mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Bailey Ober
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+93
ERA
4.37
IP
113.1
K/9
6.3
BB/9
2.5
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS4.14 ERA · 14.4% K · 6.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
32%
16%
10%
Changeup4-Seam FastballSliderSweeper
Bryan Hudson
LHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+106
ERA
3.03
IP
59.1
K/9
8.3
BB/9
2.6
WHIP
1.21
L5 STARTS0.00 ERA · 14.3% K · 0% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
67%
24%
4-Seam FastballSweeper
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN CWS

Game Markets

MIN @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

51%

Game Total

Over 8.5

58%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

59%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

37%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

49%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.85 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIN 4.86, CWS 5.00
  • Bailey Ober (MIN) vs Bryan Hudson (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BO

Bailey Ober

MIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

83%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

29%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

72%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

58%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 18% to reach 5+ against CWS
BH

Bryan Hudson

CWS SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

71%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

76%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

64%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.0 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

BAILEY OBER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%21.7%OPS-against.701
vs Left-handedK%12.6%OPS-against.747
CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.736K%24.5%

BRYAN HUDSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.9%OPS-against.561
vs Left-handedK%27.0%OPS-against.790
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.743K%20.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs BAILEY OBER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs BRYAN HUDSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 1·CWS 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIN 5·CWS 7
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%MIN
MIN 160 · CWS 135 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-05MIN 6-4
2026-09-04CWS 4-1
2026-08-30MIN 5-1
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN44¢ · 44%
CWS60¢ · 60%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5 ·
CWS +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.315L15 team wOBA
-1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

CWS OFFENSE

.307L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT74° · 12mph in from CF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
74°F
Wind12 mph in from CF
Humidity58%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO