Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Jackson Jobe · Under 15.5 <16 Outs
quick-hook risk: walks + traffic shorten the start
Riley Greene · Over 0.5 1+ HR
barrel rate spike vs vulnerable RHP
Dillon Dingler · Over 0.5 1+ HR
stuff doesn't play vs his pull side
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
169 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 21
DET @ CLE · full-game reads
Moneyline
CLE to win
54%
1st 5 Innings
CLE F5
48%
Game Total
Over 8.5
32%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
37%
Run Line
CLE -1.5
35%
Team Total
DET Over 4.5
30%
Team Total
CLE Over 4.5
32%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 7.06 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
DET SP · vs. CLE
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
12%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
35%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
43%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
28%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
CLE SP · vs. DET
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
95%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
88%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
79%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
65%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
49%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
82%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
39%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
36%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
23%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
DET · bats R · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
20%
Hits
1+ hits
61%
Hits
2+ hits
19%
Total Bases
2+ bases
39%
Total Bases
3+ bases
26%
Total Bases
4+ bases
22%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 20% against 11% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
DET · bats L · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
18%
Hits
1+ hits
61%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
40%
Total Bases
3+ bases
26%
Total Bases
4+ bases
21%
RBIs
1+ RBI
32%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 18% against 11% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats L · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
15%
Hits
1+ hits
63%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
38%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
18%
RBIs
1+ RBI
32%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 13% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
5%
Hits
1+ hits
66%
Hits
2+ hits
26%
Total Bases
2+ bases
34%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
8%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
6%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 26% against 18% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats R · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
14%
Hits
1+ hits
63%
Hits
2+ hits
23%
Total Bases
2+ bases
37%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
17%
RBIs
1+ RBI
32%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 13% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats S · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
15%
Hits
1+ hits
61%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
22%
Total Bases
4+ bases
17%
RBIs
1+ RBI
29%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 12% against 9% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
DET · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
11%
Hits
1+ hits
62%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
36%
Total Bases
3+ bases
21%
Total Bases
4+ bases
14%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 22% against 18% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats L · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
61%
Hits
2+ hits
21%
Total Bases
2+ bases
33%
Total Bases
3+ bases
18%
Total Bases
4+ bases
12%
RBIs
1+ RBI
26%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 21% against 18% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
DET · bats R · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
32%
Total Bases
3+ bases
19%
Total Bases
4+ bases
15%
RBIs
1+ RBI
25%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 13% against 11% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
DET · bats L · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
11%
Hits
1+ hits
59%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
35%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
14%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
9%
THE READ
Stands out most on 3+ bases — 20% against 19% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
CLE · bats S · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
8%
Hits
1+ hits
60%
Hits
2+ hits
20%
Total Bases
2+ bases
31%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
23%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 60%.
DET · bats L · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
11%
Hits
1+ hits
50%
Hits
2+ hits
14%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
17%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
20%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 50%.
CLE · bats S · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
54%
Hits
2+ hits
16%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
12%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 54%.
CLE · bats L · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
7%
Hits
1+ hits
55%
Hits
2+ hits
16%
Total Bases
2+ bases
27%
Total Bases
3+ bases
13%
Total Bases
4+ bases
9%
RBIs
1+ RBI
21%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 55%.
CLE · bats S · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
54%
Hits
2+ hits
15%
Total Bases
2+ bases
27%
Total Bases
3+ bases
14%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 54% against 58%.
DET · bats R · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
11%
Hits
1+ hits
50%
Hits
2+ hits
13%
Total Bases
2+ bases
26%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
12%
RBIs
1+ RBI
20%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ HR at 11% against 11%.
DET · bats L · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
8%
Hits
1+ hits
52%
Hits
2+ hits
13%
Total Bases
2+ bases
28%
Total Bases
3+ bases
15%
Total Bases
4+ bases
10%
RBIs
1+ RBI
20%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 52% against 58%.
DET · bats R · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
48%
Hits
2+ hits
13%
Total Bases
2+ bases
26%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
11%
RBIs
1+ RBI
22%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
7%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ RBI at 22% against 25%.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Pitcher-friendly.
Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.
Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.
Mean score sim 3.4–3.6 · projected total 7.1 runs · built on locked lineups
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