CHICAGOCHC
81-63 · +2 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 5-5 L10
@2026-09-06MIL HOME PARK
88-56 · +1 NL CENTRAL · L2 · 5-5 L10
MILWAUKEEMIL
Weather
70°F · 5mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBrewers 61%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CHC MIL

Game Markets

CHC @ MIL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIL to win

61%

1st 5 Innings

MIL F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

51%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

MIL -1.5

44%

Team Total

CHC Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

51%

THE READ

MIL projects to outscore CHC by 1.01 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CHC 4.02, MIL 5.03
  • Matthew Boyd (CHC) vs Robert Gasser (MIL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MB

Matthew Boyd

CHC SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

50%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

73%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.1 strikeouts
  • 39% to reach 5+ against MIL
RG

Robert Gasser

MIL SP · vs. CHC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

37%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

7%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

29%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against CHC

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIL vs LHP (team)OPS.701K%21.3%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CHC hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CHC vs RHP (team)OPS.757K%21.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

MIL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CHC BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CHC 0·MIL 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CHC 6·MIL 6
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%MIL
CHC 156 · MIL 170 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-03CHC 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-02MIL 9-5
2026-09-01MIL 9-4
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CHC48¢ · 48%
MIL55¢ · 55%
Total 8.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
CHC -1.5 ·
MIL +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.588.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

CHC OFFENSE

.360L15 team wOBA
+44 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

MIL OFFENSE

.341L15 team wOBA
+25 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
ENVIRONMENT70° · 5mph in from CF
AMERICAN FAMILY FIELD
108HR
HR factor1.08 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

HR-friendly with roof closed.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
70°F
Wind5 mph in from CF
Humidity67%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

BREWERS 61%

Mean score sim 4.05.0 · projected total 9.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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