WASHINGTONWSH
67-76 · +4 NL EAST · L2 · 5-5 L10
@SAT 9:10 PM ETLAD HOME PARK
84-57 · +1 NL WEST · W2 · 4-6 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
79°F · 6mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Cade Cavalli
RHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+103
ERA
3.12
IP
152.2
K/9
10.4
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.20
L5 STARTS1.50 ERA · 38.6% K · 7.9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
35%
28%
16%
11%
8%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSinkerSweeperChangeup
Tyler Glasnow
RHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
2.79
IP
51.2
K/9
10.8
BB/9
2.4
WHIP
0.81
L5 STARTS2.40 ERA · 34% K · 8.2% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
29%
25%
16%
Curveball4-Seam FastballSinkerSlider
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 61%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

WSH LAD

Game Markets

WSH @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

61%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

47%

Game Total

Over 8.5

35%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

35%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

41%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

29%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

38%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore WSH by 0.80 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: WSH 3.31, LAD 4.12
  • Cade Cavalli (WSH) vs Tyler Glasnow (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CC

Cade Cavalli

WSH SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

10%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

47%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

41%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.5 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against LAD
TG

Tyler Glasnow

LAD SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

83%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

69%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

54%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

39%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

92%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

66%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

49%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

34%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.8 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.8 strikeouts
  • 91% to reach 5+ against WSH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

CADE CAVALLI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.0%OPS-against.615
vs Left-handedK%26.8%OPS-against.708
LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.763K%20.7%

TYLER GLASNOW SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%38.9%OPS-against.513
vs Left-handedK%28.3%OPS-against.495
WSH vs RHP (team)OPS.743K%20.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs CADE CAVALLI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

WSH BATTERS vs TYLER GLASNOW

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
WSH 0·LAD 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
WSH 0·LAD 4
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
62%LAD
WSH 43 · LAD 69 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-05LAD 5-3
2026-04-05LAD 8-6
2026-04-04LAD 10-5 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
WSH34¢ · 34%
LAD70¢ · 70%
Total 8
Over50¢ · 50%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
WSH -1.5 ·
LAD +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.588.58last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

WSH OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

LAD OFFENSE

.304L15 team wOBA
-12 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT79° · 6mph out to RF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind6 mph out to RF
Humidity43%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO