BETFLYAISIGN IN
MINNESOTAMIN
67-74 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 4-6 L10
@SAT 7:10 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
74-67 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
73°F · 12mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Taj Bradley
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
3.85
IP
154.1
K/9
10.4
BB/9
3.9
WHIP
1.26
L5 STARTS4.63 ERA · 30.6% K · 10.7% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
24%
20%
9%
4-Seam FastballCutterSplit-FingerCurveball
Anthony Kay
LHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
4.28
IP
136.2
K/9
7.4
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.35
L5 STARTS5.65 ERA · 19.7% K · 6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
24%
23%
18%
17%
14%
4-Seam FastballSweeperSinkerCutterChangeupSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Anthony Kay · Over 3.5 4+ Ks

strikeout machine on the bump

-106 FanDuel51% book73% +22pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN CWS

Game Markets

MIN @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

37%

Game Total

Over 8.5

50%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

49%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

27%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

37%

THE READ

MIN projects to outscore CWS by 0.99 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIN 5.00, CWS 4.01
  • Taj Bradley (MIN) vs Anthony Kay (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TB

Taj Bradley

MIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

82%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

68%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

21%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

79%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

47%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

38%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.6 strikeouts
  • 82% to reach 5+ against CWS
AK

Anthony Kay

CWS SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

26%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 28% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TAJ BRADLEY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%24.8%OPS-against.685
vs Left-handedK%28.9%OPS-against.682
CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.737K%24.4%

ANTHONY KAY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.8%OPS-against.861
vs Left-handedK%28.3%OPS-against.519
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.744K%20.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs TAJ BRADLEY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs ANTHONY KAY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 0·CWS 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIN 4·CWS 7
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%MIN
MIN 159 · CWS 135 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-04CWS 4-1
2026-08-30MIN 5-1
2026-08-29CWS 3-2 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN49¢ · 49%
CWS55¢ · 55%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9→7.5→8.5→7.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.318L15 team wOBA
+2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

CWS OFFENSE

.294L15 team wOBA
-22 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT73° · 12mph in from CF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
73°F
Wind12 mph in from CF
Humidity88%
Rain0%

Wind in from CF · HR headwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO