Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Gabriel Moreno · Over 0.5 1+ Runs
reaches base often, gets pushed across
Cristian Javier · Over 14.5 15+ Outs
starter going deep into a manageable lineup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
ARI @ HOU · full-game reads
Moneyline
HOU to win
55%
1st 5 Innings
HOU F5
43%
Game Total
Over 8.5
50%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
54%
Run Line
HOU -1.5
38%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
41%
Team Total
HOU Over 4.5
46%
THE READ
HOU projects to outscore ARI by 0.32 runs across 5,000 trials.
ARI SP · vs. HOU
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
37%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
21%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
3%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
100%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
98%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
83%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
73%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
HOU SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
7%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
4%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
0%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
36%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
23%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Neutral — Crawford Boxes LF-friendly.
Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 4.2–4.6 · projected total 8.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read
BetFly publishes sports predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial, investment, or wagering advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Must be 21+. Not available in all states.