BETFLYAISIGN IN
TAMPA BAYTB
83-56 · +1 AL EAST · L1 · 7-3 L10
@THU 8:05 PM ETTEX HOME PARK
69-71 · +2 AL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
TEXASTEX
Weather
90°F · 12mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Shane McClanahan
LHP · TBPROBABLE
STUFF+108
ERA
3.19
IP
113.0
K/9
8.2
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.11
L5 STARTS3.38 ERA · 20.5% K · 8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
29%
20%
14%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSliderCurveball
Cal Quantrill
RHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
3.01
IP
89.2
K/9
6.8
BB/9
2.2
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS1.44 ERA · 26.3% K · 3.2% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
28%
19%
19%
CutterSinker4-Seam FastballSplit-Finger
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRays 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TB TEX

Game Markets

TB @ TEX · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TB to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

TEX F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

TEX -1.5

29%

Team Total

TB Over 4.5

49%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

41%

THE READ

TB projects to outscore TEX by 0.71 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TB 4.88, TEX 4.17
  • Shane McClanahan (TB) vs Cal Quantrill (TEX)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SM

Shane McClanahan

TB SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

49%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

35%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 51% to reach 5+ against TEX
CQ

Cal Quantrill

TEX SP · vs. TB

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

74%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 29% to reach 5+ against TB

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SHANE MCCLANAHAN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.2%OPS-against.615
vs Left-handedK%21.9%OPS-against.518
TEX vs RHP (team)OPS.698K%22.2%

CAL QUANTRILL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%14.0%OPS-against.579
vs Left-handedK%22.1%OPS-against.703
TB vs LHP (team)OPS.688K%18.3%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TEX BATTERS vs SHANE MCCLANAHAN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TB BATTERS vs CAL QUANTRILL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TB 0·TEX 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
TB 2·TEX 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%TEX
TB 56 · TEX 60 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-30TB 3-2 · One-run game
2026-07-29TB 3-0 · Pitchers duel
2026-07-28TEX 4-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TB56¢ · 56%
TEX49¢ · 49%
Total 7.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
TB -1.5— · —
TEX +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→8→7.5→8→7.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

TB OFFENSE

.292L15 team wOBA
-24 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

TEX OFFENSE

.322L15 team wOBA
+6 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT90° · 12mph out to CF
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral with roof.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
90°F
Wind12 mph out to CF
Humidity54%
Rain14%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO