BETFLYAISIGN IN
ATH
54-86 · +4 AL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@THU 9:40 PM ETSEA HOME PARK
66-74 · +3 AL WEST · W2 · 4-6 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
62°F · 6mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Jack Perkins
RHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+101
ERA
6.42
IP
95.1
K/9
10.3
BB/9
4.0
WHIP
1.49
L5 STARTS5.52 ERA · 19.8% K · 13.9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
31%
17%
9%
4-Seam FastballSweeperChangeupCutterSinker
Kade Anderson
LHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
4.50
IP
10.0
K/9
7.2
BB/9
4.5
WHIP
1.30
L5 STARTS4.84 ERA · 19.5% K · 12.2% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH SEA

Game Markets

ATH @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ATH to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

40%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

45%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

32%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

35%

THE READ

ATH projects to outscore SEA by 0.26 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: ATH 4.10, SEA 3.84
  • Jack Perkins (ATH) vs Kade Anderson (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JP

Jack Perkins

ATH SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

74%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

12%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

63%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

20%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

41%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

27%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 6.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 74% to reach 5+ against SEA
KA

Kade Anderson

SEA SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

44%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

JACK PERKINS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%21.7%OPS-against.805
vs Left-handedK%28.3%OPS-against.829
SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.636K%24.5%

KADE ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%15.6%OPS-against.683
vs Left-handedK%33.3%OPS-against.108
ATH vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%21.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs JACK PERKINS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs KADE ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·SEA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
ATH 2·SEA 5
7 played · 12 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
95%SEA
ATH 10 · SEA 179 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-27SEA 9-1 · Blowout
2026-05-27SEA 4-1
2026-05-26SEA 9-2 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.317L15 team wOBA
+1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

SEA OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT62° · 6mph out to RF
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
62°F
Wind6 mph out to RF
Humidity66%
Rain8%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO