TAMPA BAYTB
83-56 · +1 AL EAST · L1 · 7-3 L10
@2026-09-02TEX HOME PARK
69-71 · +2 AL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
TEXASTEX
Weather
100°F · 6mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRays 56%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TB TEX

Game Markets

TB @ TEX · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TB to win

56%

1st 5 Innings

TEX F5

39%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

TEX -1.5

28%

Team Total

TB Over 4.5

52%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

40%

THE READ

TB projects to outscore TEX by 0.88 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TB 5.03, TEX 4.15
  • Shane McClanahan (TB) vs Cal Quantrill (TEX)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SM

Shane McClanahan

TB SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

43%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

13%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 44% to reach 5+ against TEX
CQ

Cal Quantrill

TEX SP · vs. TB

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

42%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

96%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

83%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

72%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 42% to reach 5+ against TB

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

TEX vs LHP (team)OPS.757K%23.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

TB vs RHP (team)OPS.752K%18.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

TEX BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TB BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TB 0·TEX 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
TB 2·TEX 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%TEX
TB 56 · TEX 60 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-30TB 3-2 · One-run game
2026-07-29TB 3-0 · Pitchers duel
2026-07-28TEX 4-1
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TB56¢ · 56%
TEX48¢ · 48%
Total 7.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
TB -1.5 ·
TEX +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.587.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

TB OFFENSE

.292L15 team wOBA
-24 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

TEX OFFENSE

.322L15 team wOBA
+6 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT100° · 6mph out to LF
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral with roof.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
100°F
Wind6 mph out to LF
Humidity31%
Rain1%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

RAYS 56%

Mean score sim 5.04.2 · projected total 9.2 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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