Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Bryce Miller · Over 15.5 16+ Outs
long-leash spot vs softer opp
Patrick Sandoval · Under 5.5 <6 Pitcher Ks
K projection runs under in this matchup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
SEA @ BOS · full-game reads
Moneyline
SEA to win
56%
1st 5 Innings
BOS F5
37%
Game Total
Over 8.5
48%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
50%
Run Line
BOS -1.5
28%
Team Total
SEA Over 4.5
47%
Team Total
BOS Over 4.5
36%
THE READ
SEA projects to outscore BOS by 0.82 runs across 5,000 trials.
SEA SP · vs. BOS
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
47%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
28%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
2%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
37%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
44%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
30%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.
BOS SP · vs. SEA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
56%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
37%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
19%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
4%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
54%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
9%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
52%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
38%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BOS hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Doubles factory (Green Monster).
Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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