BETFLYAISIGN IN
NEW YORKNYY
79-60 · +2 AL EAST · W1 · 6-4 L10
@WED 9:38 PM ETLAA HOME PARK
53-86 · +5 AL WEST · L1 · 2-8 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
79°F · 8mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Cam Schlittler
RHP · NYYPROBABLE
STUFF+111
ERA
2.09
IP
163.2
K/9
11.1
BB/9
2.3
WHIP
0.97
L5 STARTS2.40 ERA · 31.9% K · 14.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
27%
20%
4-Seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveball
Reid Detmers
LHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+105
ERA
3.54
IP
155.0
K/9
10.1
BB/9
2.5
WHIP
1.07
L5 STARTS1.50 ERA · 25.7% K · 5.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
33%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Reid Detmers · Over 6.5 7+ Ks

elite swing-and-miss stuff

-140 FanDuel58% book67% +8pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

NYY LAA

Game Markets

NYY @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

36%

Game Total

Over 8.5

35%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

33%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

25%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

27%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore LAA by 0.86 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: NYY 4.09, LAA 3.23
  • Cam Schlittler (NYY) vs Reid Detmers (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CS

Cam Schlittler

NYY SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

86%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

32%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

76%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

49%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

46%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

33%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.3 strikeouts
  • 86% to reach 5+ against LAA
RD

Reid Detmers

LAA SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

90%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

80%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

52%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

37%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

68%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

61%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.7 strikeouts
  • 90% to reach 5+ against NYY

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

CAM SCHLITTLER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%26.3%OPS-against.548
vs Left-handedK%33.8%OPS-against.586
LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.678K%25.0%

REID DETMERS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.1%OPS-against.619
vs Left-handedK%24.3%OPS-against.629
NYY vs RHP (team)OPS.715K%24.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs CAM SCHLITTLER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

NYY BATTERS vs REID DETMERS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
NYY 1·LAA 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
NYY 3·LAA 3
6 played · 13 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
59%NYY
NYY 66 · LAA 46 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-02NYY 7-3
2026-09-01LAA 10-1 · Blowout
2026-04-16LAA 11-4 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
NYY64¢ · 64%
LAA40¢ · 40%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
NYY -1.5— · —
LAA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7→9→7→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

NYY OFFENSE

.321L15 team wOBA
+5 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

LAA OFFENSE

.268L15 team wOBA
-48 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT79° · 8mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind8 mph out to CF
Humidity42%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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