DETROITDET
63-75 · +4 AL CENTRAL · L3 · 2-8 L10
@WED 7:40 PM ETMIN HOME PARK
67-72 · +3 AL CENTRAL · W3 · 4-6 L10
MINNESOTAMIN
Weather
86°F · 2mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Drew Anderson
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
3.87
IP
86.0
K/9
10.1
BB/9
3.7
WHIP
1.33
L5 STARTS2.94 ERA · 19.4% K · 11.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
40%
31%
22%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
Dean Kremer
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+88
ERA
5.60
IP
62.2
K/9
8.8
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.26
L5 STARTS4.47 ERA · 21.5% K · 10.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
21%
Split-Finger4-Seam Fastball
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

DET MIN

Game Markets

DET @ MIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

MIN F5

36%

Game Total

Over 8.5

46%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

49%

Run Line

MIN -1.5

29%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore MIN by 0.66 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: DET 4.57, MIN 3.90
  • Drew Anderson (DET) vs Dean Kremer (MIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DA

Drew Anderson

DET SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

58%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

11%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

74%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

11%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

43%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

29%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 6.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 75% to reach 5+ against MIN
DK

Dean Kremer

MIN SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

35%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

65%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

27%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.8 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.8 strikeouts
  • 53% to reach 5+ against DET

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

DREW ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.7%OPS-against.801
vs Left-handedK%23.7%OPS-against.666
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.747K%20.5%

DEAN KREMER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.0%OPS-against.842
vs Left-handedK%22.0%OPS-against.963
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%22.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

MIN BATTERS vs DREW ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

DET BATTERS vs DEAN KREMER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
DET 0·MIN 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
DET 2·MIN 9
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
51%DET
DET 157 · MIN 150 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-01MIN 15-2 · Blowout
2026-08-31MIN 11-1 · Blowout
2026-06-11DET 11-0 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
DET50¢ · 50%
MIN53¢ · 53%
Total 9
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
DET -1.5 ·
MIN +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.598.59last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

DET OFFENSE

.245L15 team wOBA
-72 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

MIN OFFENSE

.326L15 team wOBA
+10 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT86° · 2mph out to LF
TARGET FIELD
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
86°F
Wind2 mph out to LF
Humidity42%
Rain5%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO