BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
73-65 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
@WED 8:10 PM ETHOU HOME PARK
70-69 · +1 AL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
HOUSTONHOU
Weather
84°F · 12mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Davis Martin
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
4.32
IP
125.0
K/9
8.0
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.33
L5 STARTS9.95 ERA · 15.6% K · 6.7% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
18%
15%
14%
13%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerChangeupSliderCutterCurveball
Hayden Wesneski
RHP · HOUPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.86
IP
32.2
K/9
7.7
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.19
L5 STARTS3.67 ERA · 22.2% K · 9.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 64%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS HOU

Game Markets

CWS @ HOU · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

HOU to win

64%

1st 5 Innings

HOU F5

51%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

HOU -1.5

45%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

33%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

HOU projects to outscore CWS by 1.13 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CWS 3.73, HOU 4.86
  • Davis Martin (CWS) vs Hayden Wesneski (HOU)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DM

Davis Martin

CWS SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

27%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 27% to reach 5+ against HOU
HW

Hayden Wesneski

HOU SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

40%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

11%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

38%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

25%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 47% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DAVIS MARTIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.6%OPS-against.730
vs Left-handedK%19.7%OPS-against.734
HOU vs RHP (team)OPS.729K%22.0%

HAYDEN WESNESKI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.3%OPS-against.687
vs Left-handedK%21.6%OPS-against.636
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.722K%23.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

HOU BATTERS vs DAVIS MARTIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs HAYDEN WESNESKI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 1·HOU 1
4-game set · gm 3 of 4
2026 SEASON
CWS 2·HOU 3
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%HOU
CWS 42 · HOU 52 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-02CWS 5-1
2026-09-01HOU 6-3
2026-07-26CWS 12-3 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS48¢ · 48%
HOU57¢ · 57%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5— · —
HOU +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→6.5→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.309L15 team wOBA
-7 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

HOU OFFENSE

.281L15 team wOBA
-35 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT84° · 12mph out to CF
MINUTE MAID PARK
98HR
HR factor0.98 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral — Crawford Boxes LF-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
84°F
Wind12 mph out to CF
Humidity63%
Rain22%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO