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ATH
53-86 · +4 AL WEST · L5 · 4-6 L10
@WED 2:35 PM ETTEX HOME PARK
69-70 · +2 AL WEST · W3 · 5-5 L10
TEXASTEX
Weather
96°F · 6mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Jacob Lopez
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+93
ERA
4.82
IP
99.0
K/9
8.7
BB/9
4.5
WHIP
1.46
L5 STARTS2.48 ERA · 30.4% K · 7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
34%
31%
20%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderCutterChangeupSinker
Cody Bradford
LHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.42
IP
26.1
K/9
4.4
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
1.52
L5 STARTS3.54 ERA · 11.4% K · 5.3% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETATH 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH TEX

Game Markets

ATH @ TEX · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ATH to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

TEX F5

38%

Game Total

Over 8.5

61%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

62%

Run Line

TEX -1.5

31%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

56%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

46%

THE READ

ATH projects to outscore TEX by 0.70 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: ATH 5.41, TEX 4.72
  • Jacob Lopez (ATH) vs Cody Bradford (TEX)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JL

Jacob Lopez

ATH SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

55%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

71%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

23%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

44%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 55% to reach 5+ against TEX
CB

Cody Bradford

TEX SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

62%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

78%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

67%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.9 strikeouts
  • 17% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

JACOB LOPEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%20.5%OPS-against.810
vs Left-handedK%25.4%OPS-against.581
TEX vs LHP (team)OPS.757K%23.8%

CODY BRADFORD SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%15.7%OPS-against.638
vs Left-handedK%4.5%OPS-against.106
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.712K%24.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TEX BATTERS vs JACOB LOPEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs CODY BRADFORD

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·TEX 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
ATH 7·TEX 7
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
93%TEX
ATH 13 · TEX 162 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-02TEX 8-5
2026-09-01TEX 8-1 · Blowout
2026-08-16ATH 5-2
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.308L15 team wOBA
-8 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

TEX OFFENSE

.319L15 team wOBA
+3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT96° · 6mph out to LF
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral with roof.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
96°F
Wind6 mph out to LF
Humidity39%
Rain1%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO