ATH
54-86 · +4 AL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@2026-09-02SEA HOME PARK
66-74 · +3 AL WEST · W2 · 4-6 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH SEA

Game Markets

ATH @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ATH to win

48%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

38%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

44%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

34%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

36%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 7.80 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: ATH 3.95, SEA 3.84
  • Jack Perkins (ATH) vs Kade Anderson (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JP

Jack Perkins

ATH SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

78%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

62%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

15%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

74%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

30%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

44%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

30%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.2 strikeouts
  • 78% to reach 5+ against SEA
KA

Kade Anderson

SEA SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

44%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

5%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.1 strikeouts
  • 19% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.636K%24.5%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ATH vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%21.4%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·SEA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
ATH 2·SEA 5
7 played · 12 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
95%SEA
ATH 10 · SEA 179 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-27SEA 9-1 · Blowout
2026-05-27SEA 4-1
2026-05-26SEA 9-2 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.317L15 team wOBA
+1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

SEA OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

MARINERS 52%

Mean score sim 4.03.8 · projected total 7.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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