BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
72-65 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 6-4 L10
@TUE 8:10 PM ETHOU HOME PARK
70-68 · +1 AL WEST · W2 · 6-4 L10
HOUSTONHOU
Weather
78°F · 8mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Sean Burke
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.32
IP
149.0
K/9
9.7
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.15
L5 STARTS4.83 ERA · 19.4% K · 12% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
21%
18%
15%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSliderSinkerCutter
Ronel Blanco
RHP · HOUPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
7.71
IP
23.1
K/9
7.7
BB/9
4.6
WHIP
1.46
L5 STARTS8.29 ERA · 19.8% K · 11.9% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 56%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS HOU

Game Markets

CWS @ HOU · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

HOU to win

56%

1st 5 Innings

HOU F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

HOU -1.5

37%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

40%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.65 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.20, HOU 4.45
  • Sean Burke (CWS) vs Ronel Blanco (HOU)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
SB

Sean Burke

CWS SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

56%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

27%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.0 strikeouts
  • 56% to reach 5+ against HOU
RB

Ronel Blanco

HOU SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

41%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

27%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

27%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 41% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SEAN BURKE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.3%OPS-against.646
vs Left-handedK%26.2%OPS-against.695
HOU vs RHP (team)OPS.730K%21.9%

RONEL BLANCO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.5%OPS-against.726
vs Left-handedK%17.9%OPS-against.992
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.722K%23.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

HOU BATTERS vs SEAN BURKE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs RONEL BLANCO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 0·HOU 1
4-game set · gm 2 of 4
2026 SEASON
CWS 1·HOU 3
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%HOU
CWS 41 · HOU 52 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-01HOU 6-3
2026-07-26CWS 12-3 · Blowout
2026-07-25HOU 4-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS53¢ · 53%
HOU51¢ · 51%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5— · —
HOU +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→9→8.5→9→8.5→7.5→8.5→9→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

HOU OFFENSE

.288L15 team wOBA
-28 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT78° · 8mph in from CF
MINUTE MAID PARK
98HR
HR factor0.98 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral — Crawford Boxes LF-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
78°F
Wind8 mph in from CF
Humidity89%
Rain32%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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