ST. LOUISSTL
68-70 · +3 NL CENTRAL · L2 · 3-7 L10
@2026-08-31LAD HOME PARK
82-55 · +1 NL WEST · W1 · 6-4 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
84°F · 9mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETCardinals 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

STL LAD

Game Markets

STL @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

STL to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

62%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

33%

Team Total

STL Over 4.5

55%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

STL projects to outscore LAD by 0.48 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: STL 5.40, LAD 4.92
  • Michael McGreevy (STL) vs Eric Lauer (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MM

Michael McGreevy

STL SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

48%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

4%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

61%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.6 strikeouts
  • 10% to reach 5+ against LAD
EL

Eric Lauer

LAD SP · vs. STL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

73%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

79%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

67%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 22% to reach 5+ against STL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.740K%20.4%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how STL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

STL vs RHP (team)OPS.690K%21.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

STL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
STL 0·LAD 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
STL 2·LAD 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
51%LAD
STL 59 · LAD 61 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-03LAD 4-1
2026-05-02STL 3-2 · One-run game
2026-05-02STL 7-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
STL41¢ · 41%
LAD64¢ · 64%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
STL -1.5 ·
LAD +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT98.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

STL OFFENSE

.304L15 team wOBA
-12 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

LAD OFFENSE

.299L15 team wOBA
-17 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT84° · 9mph out to CF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
84°F
Wind9 mph out to CF
Humidity50%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

CARDINALS 51%

Mean score sim 5.44.9 · projected total 10.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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