BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN FRANCISCOSF
56-81 · +4 NL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@MON 6:05 PM ETATL HOME PARK
82-55 · +1 NL EAST · W7 · 8-2 L10
ATLANTAATL
Weather
94°F · 6mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
1-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Anthony Molina
RHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
2.89
IP
9.1
K/9
2.9
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
0.96
L5 STARTS2.97 ERA · 8.6% K · 5.7% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Bryce Elder
RHP · ATLPROBABLE
STUFF+85
ERA
3.95
IP
143.2
K/9
7.4
BB/9
2.9
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS3.90 ERA · 15.7% K · 7.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
27%
27%
24%
14%
9%
SliderSinker4-Seam FastballCutterChangeup
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGiants 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SF ATL

Game Markets

SF @ ATL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SF to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

ATL F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

51%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

ATL -1.5

32%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

47%

Team Total

ATL Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

SF projects to outscore ATL by 0.34 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SF 4.74, ATL 4.40
  • Anthony Molina (SF) vs Bryce Elder (ATL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
AM

Anthony Molina

SF SP · vs. ATL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

19%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.2 strikeouts
  • 8% to reach 5+ against ATL
BE

Bryce Elder

ATL SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

35%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

95%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

52%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

69%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

56%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 35% to reach 5+ against SF

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ANTHONY MOLINA SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.3%OPS-against.143
vs Left-handedK%7.7%OPS-against.616
ATL vs RHP (team)OPS.730K%22.0%

BRYCE ELDER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.3%OPS-against.777
vs Left-handedK%20.2%OPS-against.649
SF vs RHP (team)OPS.732K%20.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

ATL BATTERS vs ANTHONY MOLINA

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SF BATTERS vs BRYCE ELDER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SF 0·ATL 0
1-game set · gm 1 of 1
2026 SEASON
SF 5·ATL 2
7 played · 12 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
51%SF
SF 57 · ATL 54 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-28SF 3-2 · One-run game
2026-06-28SF 5-0
2026-06-27ATL 3-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SF43¢ · 43%
ATL60¢ · 60%
Total 8.5
Over54¢ · 54%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
SF -1.5— · —
ATL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SF OFFENSE

.310L15 team wOBA
-6 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

ATL OFFENSE

.289L15 team wOBA
-27 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT94° · 6mph out to LF
TRUIST PARK
108HR
HR factor1.08 · +
Runs factor1.03 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

HR-friendly, especially to LF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
94°F
Wind6 mph out to LF
Humidity30%
Rain2%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO