BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN DIEGOSD
72-65 · +3 NL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@MON 6:40 PM ETCIN HOME PARK
65-72 · +5 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
CINCINNATICIN
Weather
94°F · 8mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Michael King
RHP · SDPROBABLE
STUFF+95
ERA
3.23
IP
156.0
K/9
7.8
BB/9
3.5
WHIP
1.17
L5 STARTS2.68 ERA · 21.5% K · 8.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
27%
19%
19%
SinkerChangeupSweeper4-Seam FastballSlider
Brady Singer
RHP · CINPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.72
IP
137.1
K/9
7.3
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.42
L5 STARTS4.93 ERA · 15.9% K · 6.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
30%
12%
SinkerSliderSweeperCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Michael King · Under 5.5 <6 Pitcher Ks

K projection runs under in this matchup

+113 DraftKings47% book56% +9pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETPadres 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SD CIN

Game Markets

SD @ CIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SD to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

CIN F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

65%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

65%

Run Line

CIN -1.5

34%

Team Total

SD Over 4.5

56%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

53%

THE READ

SD projects to outscore CIN by 0.36 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SD 5.51, CIN 5.16
  • Michael King (SD) vs Brady Singer (CIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MK

Michael King

SD SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

81%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

76%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

64%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against CIN
BS

Brady Singer

CIN SP · vs. SD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

82%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

14%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

69%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.0 strikeouts
  • 37% to reach 5+ against SD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MICHAEL KING SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.0%OPS-against.651
vs Left-handedK%20.1%OPS-against.650
CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.692K%25.5%

BRADY SINGER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.4%OPS-against.684
vs Left-handedK%20.5%OPS-against.864
SD vs RHP (team)OPS.706K%21.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CIN BATTERS vs MICHAEL KING

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SD BATTERS vs BRADY SINGER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SD 0·CIN 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SD 3·CIN 2
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%SD
SD 75 · CIN 59 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-10SD 5-4 · One-run game
2026-06-10CIN 5-3
2026-06-09SD 6-2
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SD59¢ · 59%
CIN44¢ · 44%
Total 9.5
Over54¢ · 54%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
SD -1.5— · —
CIN +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9→9.5→9→9.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SD OFFENSE

.297L15 team wOBA
-19 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

CIN OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT94° · 8mph out to RF
GREAT AMERICAN BALL PARK
118HR
HR factor1.18 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

League’s hottest HR park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
94°F
Wind8 mph out to RF
Humidity33%
Rain2%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO