MIAMIMIA
69-69 · +3 NL EAST · L1 · 5-5 L10
@2026-08-31KC HOME PARK
62-76 · +5 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 8-2 L10
KANSAS CITYKC
Weather
98°F · 10mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRoyals 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIA KC

Game Markets

MIA @ KC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIA to win

47%

1st 5 Innings

KC F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

60%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

62%

Run Line

KC -1.5

38%

Team Total

MIA Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 10.05 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIA 5.03, KC 5.02
  • Tyler Phillips (MIA) vs Randy Dobnak (KC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TP

Tyler Phillips

MIA SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

45%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

70%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

56%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.8 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.8 strikeouts
  • 53% to reach 5+ against KC
RD

Randy Dobnak

KC SP · vs. MIA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

64%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

75%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

63%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 24% to reach 5+ against MIA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

KC vs LHP (team)OPS.708K%21.3%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIA vs RHP (team)OPS.736K%21.2%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

KC BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIA 0·KC 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIA 0·KC 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%MIA
MIA 10 · KC 8 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-07-20KC 7-4
2025-07-19MIA 3-1
2025-07-18MIA 8-7 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIA50¢ · 50%
KC54¢ · 54%
Total 9.5
Over54¢ · 54%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
MIA -1.5 ·
KC +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

MIA OFFENSE

.309L15 team wOBA
-8 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

KC OFFENSE

.338L15 team wOBA
+22 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
ENVIRONMENT98° · 10mph out to LF
KAUFFMAN STADIUM
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Big OF — triples up, HR down.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
98°F
Wind10 mph out to LF
Humidity36%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

ROYALS 53%

Mean score sim 5.05.0 · projected total 10.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

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