BETFLYAISIGN IN
TEXASTEX
66-70 · +2 AL WEST · L4 · 4-6 L10
@SUN 2:10 PM ETMIL HOME PARK
85-51 · +1 NL CENTRAL · W4 · 7-3 L10
MILWAUKEEMIL
Weather
83°F · 16mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Kumar Rocker
RHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.41
IP
126.2
K/9
8.3
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.40
L5 STARTS6.18 ERA · 20.5% K · 11.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
31%
14%
12%
SliderSinkerCutter4-Seam FastballChangeup
Dustin May
RHP · MILPROBABLE
STUFF+103
ERA
4.56
IP
124.1
K/9
8.5
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.29
L5 STARTS4.48 ERA · 18.1% K · 10.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
27%
22%
19%
18%
4-Seam FastballCutterSweeperSinkerChangeupCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBrewers 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TEX MIL

Game Markets

TEX @ MIL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIL to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

MIL F5

48%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

51%

Run Line

MIL -1.5

39%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

38%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

MIL projects to outscore TEX by 0.51 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TEX 4.01, MIL 4.52
  • Kumar Rocker (TEX) vs Dustin May (MIL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
KR

Kumar Rocker

TEX SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

59%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

20%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

40%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against MIL
DM

Dustin May

MIL SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

42%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

65%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

17%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.2 strikeouts
  • 42% to reach 5+ against TEX

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

KUMAR ROCKER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.3%OPS-against.641
vs Left-handedK%21.1%OPS-against.839
MIL vs RHP (team)OPS.752K%21.4%

DUSTIN MAY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.2%OPS-against.585
vs Left-handedK%22.4%OPS-against.750
TEX vs RHP (team)OPS.699K%22.3%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIL BATTERS vs KUMAR ROCKER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TEX BATTERS vs DUSTIN MAY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TEX 0·MIL 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
TEX 0·MIL 4
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
60%MIL
TEX 24 · MIL 36 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-29MIL 5-3
2026-08-28MIL 6-1
2026-03-20MIL 11-4 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TEX41¢ · 41%
MIL63¢ · 63%
Total 8.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
TEX -1.5— · —
MIL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→7.5→8.5→7.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

TEX OFFENSE

.295L15 team wOBA
-21 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

MIL OFFENSE

.337L15 team wOBA
+21 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT83° · 16mph out to CF
AMERICAN FAMILY FIELD
108HR
HR factor1.08 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

HR-friendly with roof closed.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
83°F
Wind16 mph out to CF
Humidity55%
Rain7%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO