BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
72-63 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W4 · 7-3 L10
@SUN 2:10 PM ETMIN HOME PARK
64-72 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L4 · 3-7 L10
MINNESOTAMIN
Weather
82°F · 9mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 2-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Jordan Hicks
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+111
ERA
3.83
IP
40.0
K/9
11.0
BB/9
5.6
WHIP
1.53
L5 STARTS6.79 ERA · 33.3% K · 11.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
54%
35%
SinkerSweeper
Zebby Matthews
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+95
ERA
4.86
IP
103.2
K/9
7.6
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.31
L5 STARTS3.97 ERA · 24.6% K · 6.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
36%
21%
14%
13%
12%
4-Seam FastballSliderCurveballCutterChangeupSinker
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS MIN

Game Markets

CWS @ MIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

MIN F5

40%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

57%

Run Line

MIN -1.5

34%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

48%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.57 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.86, MIN 4.71
  • Jordan Hicks (CWS) vs Zebby Matthews (MIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JH

Jordan Hicks

CWS SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

83%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

69%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

22%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

71%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.7 strikeouts
  • 83% to reach 5+ against MIN
ZM

Zebby Matthews

MIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

41%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

87%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

43%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

53%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.1 strikeouts
  • 41% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

JORDAN HICKS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.4%OPS-against.716
vs Left-handedK%33.3%OPS-against.679
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.739K%20.7%

ZEBBY MATTHEWS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%17.9%OPS-against.719
vs Left-handedK%21.9%OPS-against.828
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.726K%23.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIN BATTERS vs JORDAN HICKS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs ZEBBY MATTHEWS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 2·MIN 0
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 6·MIN 3
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%MIN
CWS 134 · MIN 158 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-29CWS 3-2 · One-run game
2026-08-29CWS 7-4
2026-06-03CWS 8-0 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS49¢ · 49%
MIN55¢ · 55%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5— · —
MIN +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9→6.5→5.5→6.5→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.335L15 team wOBA
+19 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

MIN OFFENSE

.307L15 team wOBA
-9 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT82° · 9mph out to LF
TARGET FIELD
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind9 mph out to LF
Humidity76%
Rain4%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO