BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
64-71 · +3 AL WEST · L2 · 5-5 L10
@SAT 3:07 PM ETTOR HOME PARK
66-70 · +5 AL EAST · W1 · 5-5 L10
TORONTOTOR
Weather
76°F · 12mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Kade Anderson
LHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
4.76
IP
5.2
K/9
7.9
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS5.19 ERA · 22.7% K · 9.1% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

José Soriano
RHP · TORPROBABLE
STUFF+99
ERA
3.43
IP
144.1
K/9
8.9
BB/9
4.0
WHIP
1.29
L5 STARTS3.54 ERA · 18.8% K · 9.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
26%
23%
20%
SinkerCurveball4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBlue Jays 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA TOR

Game Markets

SEA @ TOR · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TOR to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

TOR F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

51%

Run Line

TOR -1.5

38%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

40%

Team Total

TOR Over 4.5

44%

THE READ

TOR projects to outscore SEA by 0.26 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.15, TOR 4.42
  • Kade Anderson (SEA) vs José Soriano (TOR)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
KA

Kade Anderson

SEA SP · vs. TOR

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

58%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

72%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

33%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

58%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

44%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.1 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.1 strikeouts
  • 58% to reach 5+ against TOR
JS

José Soriano

TOR SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

44%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

39%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

24%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 67% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

KADE ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TOR hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.8%OPS-against.775
vs Left-handedK%33.3%OPS-against.133
TOR vs RHP (team)OPS.707K%18.7%

JOSÉ SORIANO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%28.1%OPS-against.548
vs Left-handedK%22.3%OPS-against.701
SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.633K%24.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TOR BATTERS vs KADE ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs JOSÉ SORIANO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·TOR 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 2·TOR 2
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%SEA
SEA 56 · TOR 56 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-28TOR 8-1 · Blowout
2026-07-05SEA 4-0
2026-07-04SEA 11-0 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA48¢ · 48%
TOR56¢ · 56%
Total 7.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5— · —
TOR +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7→6.5→7→6.5→7.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.307L15 team wOBA
-9 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

TOR OFFENSE

.320L15 team wOBA
+4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT76° · 12mph out to CF
ROGERS CENTRE
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind12 mph out to CF
Humidity53%
Rain1%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO