Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Keider Montero · Over 3.5 4+ Ks
K-monster arsenal
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
LAD @ DET · full-game reads
Moneyline
LAD to win
63%
1st 5 Innings
DET F5
27%
Game Total
Over 8.5
38%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
41%
Run Line
DET -1.5
21%
Team Total
LAD Over 4.5
46%
Team Total
DET Over 4.5
25%
THE READ
LAD projects to outscore DET by 1.47 runs across 5,000 trials.
LAD SP · vs. DET
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
86%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
76%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
62%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
48%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
33%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
74%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
46%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
38%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
25%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.4 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
DET SP · vs. LAD
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
13%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
5%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
84%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
38%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
67%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
53%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.
Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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