BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
71-63 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W3 · 6-4 L10
@SAT 2:10 PM ETMIN HOME PARK
64-71 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L3 · 4-6 L10
MINNESOTAMIN
Weather
81°F · 11mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Erick Fedde
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
4.18
IP
118.1
K/9
6.4
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.39
L5 STARTS2.93 ERA · 16.4% K · 10.9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
28%
19%
14%
SweeperSinkerCutterChangeup
Bailey Ober
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+93
ERA
4.49
IP
108.1
K/9
6.2
BB/9
2.4
WHIP
1.26
L5 STARTS4.32 ERA · 12.2% K · 6.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
32%
16%
10%
Changeup4-Seam FastballSliderSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS MIN

Game Markets

CWS @ MIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

MIN F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

60%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

64%

Run Line

MIN -1.5

37%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 10.13 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.99, MIN 5.14
  • Erick Fedde (CWS) vs Bailey Ober (MIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
EF

Erick Fedde

CWS SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

24%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

40%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.4 strikeouts
  • 8% to reach 5+ against MIN
BO

Bailey Ober

MIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

53%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

74%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

62%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.2 strikeouts
  • 21% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ERICK FEDDE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%16.9%OPS-against.840
vs Left-handedK%15.9%OPS-against.722
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.740K%20.7%

BAILEY OBER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.4%OPS-against.723
vs Left-handedK%12.1%OPS-against.757
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.729K%23.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIN BATTERS vs ERICK FEDDE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs BAILEY OBER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 1·MIN 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 5·MIN 3
8 played · 11 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%MIN
CWS 133 · MIN 158 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-29CWS 7-4
2026-06-03CWS 8-0 · Blowout
2026-06-02MIN 6-4
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS50¢ · 50%
MIN55¢ · 55%
Total 9.5
Over50¢ · 50%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5— · —
MIN +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→9.5→9→12.5→9.5→12.5→9.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.343L15 team wOBA
+27 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

MIN OFFENSE

.312L15 team wOBA
-4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT81° · 11mph out to LF
TARGET FIELD
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
81°F
Wind11 mph out to LF
Humidity59%
Rain3%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO