BETFLYAISIGN IN
PHILADELPHIAPHI
74-60 · +2 NL EAST · W1 · 8-2 L10
@FRI 9:38 PM ETLAA HOME PARK
52-82 · +5 AL WEST · L4 · 3-7 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
91°F · 8mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Andrew Painter
RHP · PHIPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
6.04
IP
92.1
K/9
7.7
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.48
L5 STARTS3.65 ERA · 23.4% K · 9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
33%
21%
14%
11%
11%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderSplit-FingerSweeperSinkerCurveball
Reid Detmers
LHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+105
ERA
3.62
IP
149.0
K/9
10.4
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
1.06
L5 STARTS1.86 ERA · 32.7% K · 6.4% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
33%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAngels 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PHI LAA

Game Markets

PHI @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAA to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

50%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

43%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

38%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

36%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

41%

THE READ

LAA projects to outscore PHI by 0.33 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PHI 3.91, LAA 4.24
  • Andrew Painter (PHI) vs Reid Detmers (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
AP

Andrew Painter

PHI SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

38%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

53%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against LAA
RD

Reid Detmers

LAA SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

88%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

78%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

49%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

34%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

82%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

56%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.5 strikeouts
  • 88% to reach 5+ against PHI

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ANDREW PAINTER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%19.9%OPS-against.776
vs Left-handedK%18.9%OPS-against.843
LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.687K%25.0%

REID DETMERS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.9%OPS-against.618
vs Left-handedK%24.7%OPS-against.622
PHI vs RHP (team)OPS.723K%22.2%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs ANDREW PAINTER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PHI BATTERS vs REID DETMERS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PHI 0·LAA 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
PHI 0·LAA 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
58%LAA
PHI 8 · LAA 11 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-07-20LAA 8-2 · Blowout
2025-07-19PHI 9-5
2025-07-18LAA 6-5 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PHI58¢ · 58%
LAA46¢ · 46%
Total 8
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
PHI -1.5— · —
LAA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→8.5→8→8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PHI OFFENSE

.330L15 team wOBA
+14 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

LAA OFFENSE

.281L15 team wOBA
-35 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT91° · 8mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
91°F
Wind8 mph out to CF
Humidity39%
Rain2%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO