BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
80-54 · +1 NL WEST · L3 · 6-4 L10
@FRI 6:40 PM ETDET HOME PARK
62-71 · +4 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 2-8 L10
DETROITDET
Weather
78°F · 8mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Tarik Skubal
LHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+118
ERA
2.91
IP
120.2
K/9
10.9
BB/9
1.6
WHIP
0.95
L5 STARTS3.58 ERA · 29% K · 6.5% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
25%
19%
15%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSinkerSliderCurveball
Drew Anderson
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
4.09
IP
81.1
K/9
10.1
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.29
L5 STARTS3.44 ERA · 19.5% K · 7.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
40%
31%
22%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS2 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Tarik Skubal · Over 7.5 8+ Ks

strikeout machine on the bump

+121 DraftKings45% book67% +22pp

Tarik Skubal · Over 6.5 7+ Ks

elite swing-and-miss stuff

-156 FanDuel61% book81% +20pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD DET

Game Markets

LAD @ DET · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

DET F5

32%

Game Total

Over 8.5

28%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

28%

Run Line

DET -1.5

24%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

35%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

22%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore DET by 0.85 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 3.79, DET 2.93
  • Tarik Skubal (LAD) vs Drew Anderson (DET)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tarik Skubal

LAD SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

97%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

51%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

98%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

74%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

46%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

30%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.6 strikeouts
  • 97% to reach 5+ against DET
DA

Drew Anderson

DET SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

13%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

64%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

17%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

37%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

23%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 6.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 75% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TARIK SKUBAL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%30.5%OPS-against.554
vs Left-handedK%32.6%OPS-against.720
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.728K%22.4%

DREW ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%28.3%OPS-against.792
vs Left-handedK%24.2%OPS-against.674
LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.740K%20.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

DET BATTERS vs TARIK SKUBAL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs DREW ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 0·DET 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 0·DET 0
0 played · 19 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
60%LAD
LAD 15 · DET 10 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2025-03-30LAD 7-3
2025-03-29LAD 8-5
2025-03-27LAD 5-4 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAD68¢ · 68%
DET35¢ · 35%
Total 7.5
Over50¢ · 50%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
LAD -1.5— · —
DET +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.302L15 team wOBA
-14 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

DET OFFENSE

.266L15 team wOBA
-50 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT78° · 8mph out to RF
COMERICA PARK
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.97 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
78°F
Wind8 mph out to RF
Humidity32%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO