ARIZONAARI
@2026-08-28SF HOME PARK
55-79 · +4 NL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
69°F · 16mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGiants 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ARI SF

Game Markets

ARI @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ARI to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

39%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

SF -1.5

33%

Team Total

ARI Over 4.5

37%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

35%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 7.80 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: ARI 3.98, SF 3.82
  • Kohl Drake (ARI) vs Blade Tidwell (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
KD

Kohl Drake

ARI SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

16%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.7 strikeouts
  • 13% to reach 5+ against SF
BT

Blade Tidwell

SF SP · vs. ARI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

35%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

59%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

22%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

49%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

35%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 35% to reach 5+ against ARI

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SF vs LHP (team)OPS.661K%23.5%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ARI vs RHP (team)OPS.683K%19.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ARI BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ARI 0·SF 1
4-game set · gm 2 of 4
2026 SEASON
ARI 0·SF 3
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
100%SF
ARI 0 · SF 180 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-28SF 6-1
2026-07-02SF 6-4
2026-07-01AZ 8-2 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
ARI56¢ · 56%
SF48¢ · 48%
Total 7.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
ARI -1.5 ·
SF +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT87.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

ARI OFFENSE

.315L15 team wOBA
-1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

SF OFFENSE

.312L15 team wOBA
-4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT69° · 16mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
69°F
Wind16 mph out to CF
Humidity62%
Rain1%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GIANTS 51%

Mean score sim 4.03.8 · projected total 7.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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