MIAMIMIA
68-67 · +3 NL EAST · L1 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-27WSH HOME PARK
64-73 · +4 NL EAST · W2 · 4-6 L10
WASHINGTONWSH
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMarlins 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIA WSH

Game Markets

MIA @ WSH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIA to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

WSH F5

35%

Game Total

Over 8.5

54%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

WSH -1.5

28%

Team Total

MIA Over 4.5

52%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

41%

THE READ

MIA projects to outscore WSH by 0.91 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIA 5.12, WSH 4.20
  • Eury Pérez (MIA) vs Jackson Kent (WSH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
EP

Eury Pérez

MIA SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

70%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

52%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

35%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

20%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

85%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

40%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.7 strikeouts
  • 84% to reach 5+ against WSH
JK

Jackson Kent

WSH SP · vs. MIA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

1%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

32%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

19%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 17% to reach 5+ against MIA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

WSH vs LHP (team)OPS.780K%23.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIA vs RHP (team)OPS.736K%21.1%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

WSH BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIA 0·WSH 1
4-game set · gm 2 of 4
2026 SEASON
MIA 11·WSH 5
16 played · 3 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%WSH
MIA 158 · WSH 195 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-28WSH 9-2 · Blowout
2026-08-23MIA 6-2
2026-08-22MIA 4-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIA51¢ · 51%
WSH53¢ · 53%
Total 7.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
MIA -1.5 ·
WSH +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.57.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

MIA OFFENSE

.297L15 team wOBA
-19 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

WSH OFFENSE

.283L15 team wOBA
-33 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT
NATIONALS PARK
102HR
HR factor1.02 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

MARLINS 57%

Mean score sim 5.14.2 · projected total 9.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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