KANSAS CITYKC
60-75 · +5 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 9-1 L10
@2026-08-27CLE HOME PARK
68-66 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W7 · 8-2 L10
CLEVELANDCLE
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

KC CLE

Game Markets

KC @ CLE · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

CLE F5

47%

Game Total

Over 8.5

50%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

54%

Run Line

CLE -1.5

38%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore KC by 0.31 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: KC 4.33, CLE 4.63
  • Michael Wacha (KC) vs Tanner Bibee (CLE)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MW

Michael Wacha

KC SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

35%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

72%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

78%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

66%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 35% to reach 5+ against CLE
TB

Tanner Bibee

CLE SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

68%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

70%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 46% to reach 5+ against KC

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CLE vs LHP (team)OPS.669K%22.4%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

KC vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%20.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CLE BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

KC BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
KC 0·CLE 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
KC 3·CLE 6
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
57%CLE
KC 140 · CLE 183 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-07CLE 8-5
2026-05-06CLE 3-1
2026-05-05KC 5-3
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
KC45¢ · 45%
CLE58¢ · 58%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
KC -1.5 ·
CLE +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

KC OFFENSE

.327L15 team wOBA
+11 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

CLE OFFENSE

.310L15 team wOBA
-6 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GUARDIANS 55%

Mean score sim 4.34.6 · projected total 9.0 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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