HOUSTONHOU
67-67 · +1 AL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-27NYM HOME PARK
60-74 · +5 NL EAST · L2 · 5-5 L10
NEW YORKNYM
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAstros 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

HOU NYM

Game Markets

HOU @ NYM · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

HOU to win

52%

1st 5 Innings

NYM F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

40%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

44%

Run Line

NYM -1.5

31%

Team Total

HOU Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

NYM Over 4.5

34%

THE READ

HOU projects to outscore NYM by 0.33 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: HOU 4.13, NYM 3.80
  • Hunter Brown (HOU) vs Christian Scott (NYM)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
HB

Hunter Brown

HOU SP · vs. NYM

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

31%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

36%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

23%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 47% to reach 5+ against NYM
CS

Christian Scott

NYM SP · vs. HOU

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

77%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

60%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

41%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

14%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

61%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

28%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.1 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.1 strikeouts
  • 77% to reach 5+ against HOU

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYM hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYM vs LHP (team)OPS.696K%23.3%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how HOU hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

HOU vs RHP (team)OPS.736K%21.9%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

NYM BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

HOU BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
HOU 0·NYM 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
HOU 2·NYM 4
6 played · 13 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
58%HOU
HOU 70 · NYM 51 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-03-21HOU 7-5
2026-03-19NYM 6-2
2026-03-14HOU 8-2 · Blowout
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
HOU56¢ · 56%
NYM48¢ · 48%
Total 7.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
HOU -1.5 ·
NYM +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT87.587.587.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

HOU OFFENSE

.285L15 team wOBA
-32 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

NYM OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT
CITI FIELD
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.95 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Deep OF, dead air.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

ASTROS 52%

Mean score sim 4.13.8 · projected total 7.9 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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