CHICAGOCWS
70-63 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 5-5 L10
@2026-08-27MIN HOME PARK
64-70 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 4-6 L10
MINNESOTAMIN
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS MIN

Game Markets

CWS @ MIN · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

MIN F5

46%

Game Total

Over 8.5

53%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

56%

Run Line

MIN -1.5

39%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

43%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

49%

THE READ

MIN projects to outscore CWS by 0.40 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.43, MIN 4.83
  • Luis Castillo (CWS) vs Dean Kremer (MIN)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
LC

Luis Castillo

CWS SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

47%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

40%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 4.0 strikeouts
  • 37% to reach 5+ against MIN
DK

Dean Kremer

MIN SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

43%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

38%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

58%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

43%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.2 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.2 strikeouts
  • 61% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIN vs LHP (team)OPS.692K%22.1%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.727K%23.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

MIN BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 0·MIN 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 4·MIN 3
7 played · 12 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%MIN
CWS 132 · MIN 158 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-03CWS 8-0 · Blowout
2026-06-02MIN 6-4
2026-06-01MIN 9-6 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS50¢ · 50%
MIN54¢ · 54%
Total 9
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5 ·
MIN +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT98.59last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.347L15 team wOBA
+30 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

MIN OFFENSE

.317L15 team wOBA
+1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT
TARGET FIELD
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.05 · +

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

TWINS 57%

Mean score sim 4.44.8 · projected total 9.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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