COLORADOCOL
52-82 · +5 NL WEST · L1 · 2-8 L10
@2026-08-27ATL HOME PARK
79-55 · +1 NL EAST · W4 · 5-5 L10
ATLANTAATL
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBraves 62%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL ATL

Game Markets

COL @ ATL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ATL to win

62%

1st 5 Innings

ATL F5

52%

Game Total

Over 8.5

65%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

68%

Run Line

ATL -1.5

46%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

49%

Team Total

ATL Over 4.5

62%

THE READ

ATL projects to outscore COL by 1.13 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.86, ATL 5.99
  • Tomoyuki Sugano (COL) vs Grant Holmes (ATL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tomoyuki Sugano

COL SP · vs. ATL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

24%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

70%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

59%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.3 strikeouts
  • 8% to reach 5+ against ATL
GH

Grant Holmes

ATL SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

67%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

28%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

60%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATL hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ATL vs LHP (team)OPS.717K%20.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

COL vs RHP (team)OPS.757K%21.8%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ATL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·ATL 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 0·ATL 3
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%ATL
COL 47 · ATL 60 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-03ATL 11-6 · Slugfest
2026-05-03ATL 9-1 · Blowout
2026-05-02ATL 8-6
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL34¢ · 34%
ATL69¢ · 69%
Total 8.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5 ·
ATL +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.598.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

ATL OFFENSE

.276L15 team wOBA
-40 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT
TRUIST PARK
108HR
HR factor1.08 · +
Runs factor1.03 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

HR-friendly, especially to LF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

BRAVES 62%

Mean score sim 4.96.0 · projected total 10.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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