CINCINNATICIN
63-71 · +5 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 4-6 L10
@2026-08-27CHC HOME PARK
76-58 · +2 NL CENTRAL · L2 · 4-6 L10
CHICAGOCHC
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETCubs 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CIN CHC

Game Markets

CIN @ CHC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CHC to win

52%

1st 5 Innings

CHC F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

66%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

67%

Run Line

CHC -1.5

38%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

55%

Team Total

CHC Over 4.5

57%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 10.88 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: CIN 5.39, CHC 5.49
  • Rhett Lowder (CIN) vs David Peterson (CHC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
RL

Rhett Lowder

CIN SP · vs. CHC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

89%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

23%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

74%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.2 strikeouts
  • 21% to reach 5+ against CHC
DP

David Peterson

CHC SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

73%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

75%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

63%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against CIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CHC hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CHC vs LHP (team)OPS.798K%22.0%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.689K%25.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CHC BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CIN BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CIN 0·CHC 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CIN 3·CHC 6
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%CIN
CIN 172 · CHC 153 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-12CHC 8-4
2026-07-11CHC 5-3
2026-07-10CIN 4-0
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CIN38¢ · 38%
CHC66¢ · 66%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
CIN -1.5 ·
CHC +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.588.588.588.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

CIN OFFENSE

.285L15 team wOBA
-31 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CHC OFFENSE

.322L15 team wOBA
+6 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT
WRIGLEY FIELD
95HR
HR factor0.95 · below avg
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Wind-dependent — check gametime.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

CUBS 52%

Mean score sim 5.45.5 · projected total 10.9 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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