BOSTONBOS
73-60 · +3 AL EAST · L1 · 7-3 L10
@2026-08-27NYY HOME PARK
75-58 · +2 AL EAST · L1 · 7-3 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 63%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

BOS NYY

Game Markets

BOS @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

63%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

55%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

45%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

44%

Team Total

BOS Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore BOS by 1.17 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: BOS 3.53, NYY 4.70
  • Patrick Sandoval (BOS) vs Cam Schlittler (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
PS

Patrick Sandoval

BOS SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

61%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

12%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.0 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against NYY
CS

Cam Schlittler

NYY SP · vs. BOS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

73%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

59%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

29%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

72%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

45%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

32%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.2 strikeouts
  • 84% to reach 5+ against BOS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

NYY vs LHP (team)OPS.726K%24.8%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BOS hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

BOS vs RHP (team)OPS.715K%21.3%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

BOS BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
BOS 0·NYY 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
BOS 5·NYY 7
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%NYY
BOS 158 · NYY 172 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-06-28BOS 5-4 · One-run game
2026-06-27BOS 4-1
2026-06-26BOS 6-1
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
BOS42¢ · 42%
NYY62¢ · 62%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
BOS -1.5 ·
NYY +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.587.587.587.58last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

BOS OFFENSE

.344L15 team wOBA
+28 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

NYY OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

YANKEES 63%

Mean score sim 3.54.7 · projected total 8.2 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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