MINNESOTAMIN
64-69 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 4-6 L10
@WED 9:05 PM ETATH HOME PARK
52-81 · +4 AL WEST · W1 · 4-6 L10
ATH
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Connor Prielipp
LHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+102
ERA
5.57
IP
93.2
K/9
9.7
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.40
L5 STARTS7.19 ERA · 26.3% K · 11.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
29%
18%
13%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderCurveballChangeupSinker
J.T. Ginn
RHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
3.60
IP
132.1
K/9
8.0
BB/9
3.7
WHIP
1.23
L5 STARTS3.40 ERA · 20.7% K · 7.4% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
35%
19%
19%
16%
12%
SinkerChangeupCutterSlider4-Seam Fastball
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 50%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN ATH

Game Markets

MIN @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

50%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

44%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

49%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

33%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

40%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

38%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.27 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: MIN 4.23, ATH 4.04
  • Connor Prielipp (MIN) vs J.T. Ginn (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CP

Connor Prielipp

MIN SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

66%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

24%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 66% to reach 5+ against ATH
JG

J.T. Ginn

ATH SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

10%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

37%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 53% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

CONNOR PRIELIPP SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.4%OPS-against.737
vs Left-handedK%23.1%OPS-against.845
ATH vs RHP (team)OPS.722K%21.5%

J.T. GINN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%23.5%OPS-against.573
vs Left-handedK%19.8%OPS-against.729
MIN vs LHP (team)OPS.694K%22.2%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs CONNOR PRIELIPP

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs J.T. GINN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 1·ATH 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIN 3·ATH 2
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
90%MIN
MIN 54 · ATH 6 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-26ATH 4-2
2026-08-25MIN 9-6 · Slugfest
2026-07-26MIN 11-8 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.309L15 team wOBA
-7 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

ATH OFFENSE

.328L15 team wOBA
+12 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO