Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
WSH @ MIA · full-game reads
Moneyline
MIA to win
57%
1st 5 Innings
MIA F5
50%
Game Total
Over 8.5
46%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
49%
Run Line
MIA -1.5
39%
Team Total
WSH Over 4.5
38%
Team Total
MIA Over 4.5
45%
THE READ
MIA projects to outscore WSH by 0.50 runs across 5,000 trials.
WSH SP · vs. MIA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
31%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
16%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
21%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
3%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
40%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
28%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
MIA SP · vs. WSH
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
83%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
68%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
51%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
34%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
20%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
87%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
42%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
49%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
35%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Cavernous OF.
Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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