Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · GAME MARKETS
BOS2 · spread
Sandoval has the rotation edge
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
SF @ BOS · full-game reads
Moneyline
BOS to win
52%
1st 5 Innings
BOS F5
44%
Game Total
Over 8.5
53%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
56%
Run Line
BOS -1.5
36%
Team Total
SF Over 4.5
44%
Team Total
BOS Over 4.5
46%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 9.22 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
SF SP · vs. BOS
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
50%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
32%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
19%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
4%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
84%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
50%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
69%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
56%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.
BOS SP · vs. SF
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
44%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
25%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
13%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
5%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
31%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
45%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
31%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BOS hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Doubles factory (Green Monster).
Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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