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DETROITDET
61-67 · +4 AL CENTRAL · L3 · 3-7 L10
@SAT 7:15 PM ETKC HOME PARK
56-74 · +5 AL CENTRAL · W6 · 7-3 L10
KANSAS CITYKC
Weather
88°F · 10mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Drew Anderson
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
4.01
IP
76.1
K/9
10.3
BB/9
3.4
WHIP
1.30
L5 STARTS3.75 ERA · 20.6% K · 9.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
40%
31%
22%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
Michael Wacha
RHP · KCPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.58
IP
155.2
K/9
6.9
BB/9
2.4
WHIP
1.15
L5 STARTS3.37 ERA · 15.6% K · 4.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
27%
23%
16%
15%
11%
9%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCutterSinkerCurveballSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

DET KC

Game Markets

DET @ KC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

KC F5

34%

Game Total

Over 8.5

49%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

KC -1.5

27%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

50%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

37%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore KC by 1.01 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: DET 4.95, KC 3.94
  • Drew Anderson (DET) vs Michael Wacha (KC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DA

Drew Anderson

DET SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

89%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

77%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

62%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

29%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

67%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.3 strikeouts
  • 89% to reach 5+ against KC
MW

Michael Wacha

KC SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

97%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

67%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

76%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

62%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 36% to reach 5+ against DET

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DREW ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.3%OPS-against.769
vs Left-handedK%24.1%OPS-against.674
KC vs RHP (team)OPS.713K%20.8%

MICHAEL WACHA SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%17.7%OPS-against.803
vs Left-handedK%19.9%OPS-against.641
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.738K%22.3%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

KC BATTERS vs DREW ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

DET BATTERS vs MICHAEL WACHA

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
DET 0·KC 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
DET 6·KC 5
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%DET
DET 157 · KC 135 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-22KC 5-2
2026-07-26KC 5-4 · One-run game
2026-07-25KC 3-2 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

DET OFFENSE

.297L15 team wOBA
-19 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

KC OFFENSE

.312L15 team wOBA
-4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT88° · 10mph in from CF
KAUFFMAN STADIUM
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Big OF — triples up, HR down.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
88°F
Wind10 mph in from CF
Humidity39%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO