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CLEVELANDCLE
63-66 · +3 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 5-5 L10
@SAT 8:10 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
50-78 · +5 NL WEST · L4 · 4-6 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
86°F · 12mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Tanner Bibee
RHP · CLEPROBABLE
STUFF+105
ERA
4.01
IP
150.1
K/9
7.0
BB/9
2.6
WHIP
1.15
L5 STARTS4.74 ERA · 19.1% K · 6.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
25%
23%
22%
16%
10%
CutterSinker4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSweeper
Gabriel Hughes
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
6.69
IP
37.2
K/9
7.9
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
1.38
L5 STARTS8.96 ERA · 17.6% K · 7.4% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CLE COL

Game Markets

CLE @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

43%

Game Total

Over 8.5

69%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

COL -1.5

32%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

63%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

55%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore COL by 0.73 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CLE 6.07, COL 5.34
  • Tanner Bibee (CLE) vs Gabriel Hughes (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TB

Tanner Bibee

CLE SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

98%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

64%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

78%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

66%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 44% to reach 5+ against COL
GH

Gabriel Hughes

COL SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

28%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

61%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 16% to reach 5+ against CLE

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TANNER BIBEE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%16.7%OPS-against.651
vs Left-handedK%21.0%OPS-against.731
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.757K%21.8%

GABRIEL HUGHES SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.9%OPS-against.711
vs Left-handedK%15.5%OPS-against.772
CLE vs RHP (team)OPS.690K%21.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs TANNER BIBEE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CLE BATTERS vs GABRIEL HUGHES

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CLE 1·COL 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
CLE 2·COL 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%CLE
CLE 29 · COL 25 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-22CLE 9-1 · Blowout
2026-03-08COL 4-4
2026-03-01CLE 8-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

CLE OFFENSE

.307L15 team wOBA
-9 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

COL OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT86° · 12mph out to RF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
86°F
Wind12 mph out to RF
Humidity28%
Rain24%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO