BETFLYAISIGN IN
TORONTOTOR
63-66 · +4 AL EAST · W1 · 7-3 L10
@FRI 7:05 PM ETNYY HOME PARK
72-55 · +2 AL EAST · W4 · 6-4 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
74°F · 3mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Mason Fluharty
LHP · TORPROBABLE
STUFF+105
ERA
3.71
IP
51.0
K/9
9.9
BB/9
3.5
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS0.00 ERA · 8.3% K · 0% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
49%
41%
10%
CutterSweeperChangeup
Cam Schlittler
RHP · NYYPROBABLE
STUFF+111
ERA
2.19
IP
152.0
K/9
11.2
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
0.94
L5 STARTS2.23 ERA · 38.9% K · 8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
45%
27%
20%
4-Seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TOR NYY

Game Markets

TOR @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

36%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

37%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

37%

Team Total

TOR Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

37%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore TOR by 0.41 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TOR 3.54, NYY 3.95
  • Mason Fluharty (TOR) vs Cam Schlittler (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MF

Mason Fluharty

TOR SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

92%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

72%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

41%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

91%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

70%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

57%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.0 strikeouts
  • 92% to reach 5+ against NYY
CS

Cam Schlittler

NYY SP · vs. TOR

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

86%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

34%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

55%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.5 strikeouts
  • 86% to reach 5+ against TOR

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MASON FLUHARTY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%23.5%OPS-against.908
vs Left-handedK%28.7%OPS-against.440
NYY vs RHP (team)OPS.714K%24.6%

CAM SCHLITTLER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TOR hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%26.2%OPS-against.538
vs Left-handedK%34.6%OPS-against.589
TOR vs LHP (team)OPS.636K%21.0%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs MASON FLUHARTY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TOR BATTERS vs CAM SCHLITTLER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TOR 0·NYY 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
TOR 6·NYY 8
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%NYY
TOR 171 · NYY 188 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-16NYY 4-3 · One-run game
2026-08-15TOR 4-1
2026-08-14TOR 3-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

TOR OFFENSE

.308L15 team wOBA
-8 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

NYY OFFENSE

.298L15 team wOBA
-18 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT74° · 3mph out to RF
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
74°F
Wind3 mph out to RF
Humidity81%
Rain2%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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