Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
TB @ BAL · full-game reads
Moneyline
TB to win
47%
1st 5 Innings
BAL F5
45%
Game Total
Over 8.5
48%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
53%
Run Line
BAL -1.5
34%
Team Total
TB Over 4.5
42%
Team Total
BAL Over 4.5
42%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 8.69 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
TB SP · vs. BAL
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
43%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
25%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
12%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
5%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
2%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
36%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
6%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
43%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
30%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.
BAL SP · vs. TB
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
45%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
26%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
3%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
78%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
39%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
60%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
46%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how BAL hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Post-2022 wall changes suppress LH HR.
Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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