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25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
LAA @ TEX · full-game reads
Moneyline
TEX to win
53%
1st 5 Innings
TEX F5
41%
Game Total
Over 8.5
46%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
44%
Run Line
TEX -1.5
34%
Team Total
LAA Over 4.5
40%
Team Total
TEX Over 4.5
42%
THE READ
The sim splits this one — 8.48 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.
LAA SP · vs. TEX
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
83%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
72%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
56%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
41%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
27%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
72%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
43%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
54%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
40%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
TEX SP · vs. LAA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
72%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
53%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
35%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
19%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
9%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
74%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
20%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
48%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
34%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.7 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).
Neutral with roof.
Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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